Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Flix: ERC- EPF- AM would keep its majority

Flix (Tarragona, 3,426 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC- EPF- AM+2
8 councillors (2023: 6) · 58.6% of the vote (2023: 50.1%) Majority 99%
CM−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 20.8% of the vote (2023: 25.2%) Majority 0%
CUP-AMUNT±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.8% of the vote (2023: 10.4%) Majority 0%
AXF-CP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.2% of the vote (2023: 10.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC- EPF- AMERC 50.1% → 58.6% 6 → 8 councillors
  2. CMJunts 25.2% → 20.8% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. CUP-AMUNTCUP 10.4% → 9.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. AXF-CPPSOE 10.7% → 7.2% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,743 valid votes including 63 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Flix in size, in Tarragona

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