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El Pinell de Brai: no list would have a majority, EPB-MTE - C largest

El Pinell de Brai (Tarragona, 1,000 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

EPB-MTE - C±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.3% of the vote (2023: 41.9%) Majority 11%
CM±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 38.1% of the vote (2023: 38.3%) Majority 7%
-FIC±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 22.4% of the vote (2023: 19.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 82% of 300 simulated elections.

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Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

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The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

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About El Pinell de Brai

El Pinell de Brai is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,000 inhabitants, the 85th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 EPB-MTE - C came first with 41.9% of the vote and 3 seats; CM was second with 3. 79.2% of the 795 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: EPB-MTE - C would be largest on 3 of 7.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. EPB-MTE - CSumar, Podemos and allies 41.9% → 39.3% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. CMJunts 38.3% → 38.1% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. -FICLocal lists 19.7% → 22.4% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 630 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Pinell de Brai in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →