España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación
PollingForecast.com España
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Tarragona

El Perelló: AP-ERC-AM would keep its majority

El Perelló (Tarragona, 2,885 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AP-ERC-AM+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 59.2% of the vote (2023: 49.8%) Majority 99%
CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.1% of the vote (2023: 40.5%) Majority 1%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About El Perelló

El Perelló is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 2,885 inhabitants, the 52nd largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 AP-ERC-AM came first with 49.8% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CM was second with 5. 65.5% of the 1,847 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps AP-ERC-AM on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AP-ERC-AMERC 49.8% → 59.2% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. CMJunts 40.5% → 34.1% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 7.1% → 4.1% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,209 valid votes including 31 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Perelló in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →