Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Botarell: ERC - AM would keep its majority

Botarell (Tarragona, 1,102 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ERC - AM±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 82.3% of the vote (2023: 76.4%) Majority over 99%
PSC-CP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.8% of the vote (2023: 15.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Botarell

Botarell is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 1,102 inhabitants, the 84th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ERC - AM came first with 76.4% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSC-CP was second with 1. 62.3% of the 838 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ERC - AM on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ERC - AMERC 76.4% → 82.3% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. PSC-CPPSOE 15.9% → 10.8% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. A.E.U.P.B.Local lists 5.7% → 5.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 522 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Botarell in size, in Tarragona

Every municipality in Tarragona → · All of Spain →