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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Tarragona

Bellvei: no list would have a majority, CM largest

Bellvei (Tarragona, 2,346 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CM−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 34.0% of the vote (2023: 34.4%) Majority 7%
ARA PL+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.5% of the vote (2023: 19.8%) Majority 0%
PSC-CP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.2% of the vote (2023: 16.9%) Majority 0%
TXB-F.I.C.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 12.5%) Majority 0%
ECPB - C±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 7.5% of the vote (2023: 9.6%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Bellvei

Bellvei is a municipality in the province of Tarragona with 2,346 inhabitants, the 59th largest of its 184 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 CM came first with 34.4% of the vote and 5 seats; ARA PL was second with 2. 64.6% of the 1,694 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: CM would be largest on 4 of 11.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CMJunts 34.4% → 34.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. ARA PLLocal lists 19.8% → 22.5% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. PSC-CPPSOE 16.9% → 15.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. TXB-F.I.C.Local lists 12.5% → 14.2% 1 → 1 councillors
  5. ECPB - CSumar, Podemos and allies 9.6% → 7.5% 1 → 1 councillors
  6. ERC - AMERC 1.8% → 2.6% 0 → 0 councillors
  7. PPPP 2.8% → 2.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,094 valid votes including 23 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Bellvei in size, in Tarragona

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