Arnes: CM would keep its majority
Arnes (Tarragona, 448 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 80%CM majority
- 367valid votes in 2023 (93% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
CM−1
4
councillors (2023: 5) · 53.6% of the vote (2023: 59.7%)
Majority 80%
IPA-AM+1
3
councillors (2023: 2) · 40.9% of the vote (2023: 32.2%)
Majority 20%
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CMJunts 59.7% → 53.6% 5 → 4 councillors
- IPA-AMERC 32.2% → 40.9% 2 → 3 councillors
- AA-CPPSOE 7.9% → 5.2% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 367 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.