San Leonardo de Yagüe: PP would keep its majority
San Leonardo de Yagüe (Soria, 2,037 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 88%PP majority
- 1,076valid votes in 2023 (71% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 10% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About San Leonardo de Yagüe
San Leonardo de Yagüe is a municipality in the province of Soria with 2,037 inhabitants, the 8th largest of its 183 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 56.8% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 4. 70.8% of the 1,519 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 88% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 56.8% → 55.9% 7 → 6 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 37.6% → 33.7% 4 → 4 councillors
- VOXVox 4.6% → 9.5% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,076 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.