Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Ólvega: PP would keep its majority

Ólvega (Soria, 3,673 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 46.6% of the vote (2023: 47.8%) Majority 61%
PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 21.7% of the vote (2023: 14.1%) Majority 0%
PODEMOS-IU-AV−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.7% of the vote (2023: 8.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 39% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 47.8% → 46.6% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 28.7% → 25.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 14.1% → 21.7% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PODEMOS-IU-AVSumar, Podemos and allies 8.4% → 5.7% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,834 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Ólvega in size, in Soria

Every municipality in Soria → · All of Spain →