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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Soria

Covaleda: PSOE would keep its majority

Covaleda (Soria, 1,601 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 47.4% of the vote (2023: 52.0%) Majority 71%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 24.1% of the vote (2023: 25.1%) Majority 0%
AE COVALEDA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.1% of the vote (2023: 14.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 5.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 29% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Covaleda

Covaleda is a municipality in the province of Soria with 1,601 inhabitants, the 9th largest of its 183 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 52% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 71.1% of the 1,434 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 71% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 52.0% → 47.4% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 25.1% → 24.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. AE COVALEDALocal lists 14.6% → 15.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. VOXVox 5.9% → 11.1% 0 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,019 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Covaleda in size, in Soria

Every municipality in Soria → · All of Spain →