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Burgo de Osma-Ciudad de Osma: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Burgo de Osma-Ciudad de Osma (Soria, 5,023 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 43.5% of the vote (2023: 48.0%) Majority 28%
PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 41.9% of the vote (2023: 43.0%) Majority 15%
VOX±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.6% of the vote (2023: 7.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 57% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Burgo de Osma-Ciudad de Osma

Burgo de Osma-Ciudad de Osma is a municipality in the province of Soria with 5,023 inhabitants, the 3rd largest of its 183 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 48% of the vote and 6 seats; PP was second with 6. 63.5% of the 3,939 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PSOE would be largest on 6 of 13.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 48.0% → 43.5% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PPPP 43.0% → 41.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.1% → 12.6% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,501 valid votes including 49 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Burgo de Osma-Ciudad de Osma in size, in Soria

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