Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Morón de la Frontera: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Morón de la Frontera (Sevilla, 27,357 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 36.6% of the vote (2023: 39.7%) Majority 3%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 23.7% of the vote (2023: 24.1%) Majority 0%
AMA-MORON±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 21.6% of the vote (2023: 20.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
2 councillors (2023: 0) · 9.4% of the vote (2023: 4.4%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.7% of the vote (2023: 9.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 97% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 39.7% → 36.6% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 24.1% → 23.7% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. AMA-MORONLocal lists 20.5% → 21.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. VOXVox 4.4% → 9.4% 0 → 2 councillors
  5. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.2% → 6.7% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,891 valid votes including 243 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Morón de la Frontera in size, in Sevilla

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