Lebrija: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Lebrija (Sevilla, 27,665 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 21councillors, 11 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE-A majority
- 14,037valid votes in 2023 (64% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in under 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Lebrija
Lebrija is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 27,665 inhabitants, the 11th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 63.9% of the vote and 15 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 5. 63.9% of the 21,969 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 14 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 63.9% → 61.2% 15 → 14 councillors
- PPPP 21.7% → 21.4% 5 → 5 councillors
- VOXVox 4.3% → 9.4% 0 → 2 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 6.7% → 4.4% 1 → 0 councillors
- UPLELocal lists 2.6% → 2.8% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 14,037 valid votes including 112 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.