Isla Mayor: PSOE-A would keep its majority
Isla Mayor (Sevilla, 5,767 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%PSOE-A majority
- 2,363valid votes in 2023 (51% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PSOE-A±0
10
councillors (2023: 10) · 70.0% of the vote (2023: 71.2%)
Majority over 99%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
2
councillors (2023: 3) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 19.7%)
Majority 0%
VOX+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 8.0% of the vote (2023: 3.1%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOE-APSOE 71.2% → 70.0% 10 → 10 councillors
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 19.7% → 16.9% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 3.1% → 8.0% 0 → 1 councillors
- PPPP 4.3% → 3.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,363 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.