España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

El Palmar de Troya: PSOE-A would keep its majority

El Palmar de Troya (Sevilla, 2,343 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
8 councillors (2023: 9) · 65.9% of the vote (2023: 69.5%) Majority over 99%
PP+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.7% of the vote (2023: 23.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 69.5% → 65.9% 9 → 8 councillors
  2. PPPP 23.1% → 22.7% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CS-GIP-I.C.PALLocal lists 6.5% → 6.9% 0 → 0 councillors
  4. VOXVox 0.3% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,264 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Palmar de Troya in size, in Sevilla

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