El Garrobo: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
El Garrobo (Sevilla, 821 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 92%CON ANDALUCÍA majority
- 496valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Garrobo
El Garrobo is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 821 inhabitants, the 103rd largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CON ANDALUCÍA came first with 57.1% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 3. 72.8% of the 681 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CON ANDALUCÍA on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 92% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 57.1% → 56.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOE-APSOE 37.9% → 39.0% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 4.4% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 496 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.