Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

El Garrobo: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority

El Garrobo (Sevilla, 821 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

CON ANDALUCÍA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 56.5% of the vote (2023: 57.1%) Majority 92%
PSOE-A±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 39.0% of the vote (2023: 37.9%) Majority 8%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 57.1% → 56.5% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 37.9% → 39.0% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 4.4% → 3.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 496 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Garrobo in size, in Sevilla

Every municipality in Sevilla → · All of Spain →