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El Coronil: PSOE-A would keep its majority

El Coronil (Sevilla, 4,720 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 50.8% of the vote (2023: 49.4%) Majority 68%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 39.0%) Majority 5%
PP±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.2% of the vote (2023: 10.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 27% of 300 simulated elections.

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About El Coronil

El Coronil is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 4,720 inhabitants, the 65th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE-A came first with 49.4% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 4. 69.3% of the 3,869 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE-A on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 68% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 49.4% → 50.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 39.0% → 37.4% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. PPPP 10.1% → 10.2% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,683 valid votes including 41 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near El Coronil in size, in Sevilla

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