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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Sevilla

Cazalla de la Sierra: PP would keep its majority

Cazalla de la Sierra (Sevilla, 4,700 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 49.5% of the vote (2023: 50.0%) Majority 60%
PSOE-A±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.6% of the vote (2023: 45.5%) Majority 20%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 21% of 300 simulated elections.

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About Cazalla de la Sierra

Cazalla de la Sierra is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 4,700 inhabitants, the 66th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 50% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE-A was second with 5. 71.9% of the 3,912 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 60% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 50.0% → 49.5% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOE-APSOE 45.5% → 41.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. VOXVox 3.3% → 7.7% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,813 valid votes including 33 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cazalla de la Sierra in size, in Sevilla

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