Casariche: CON ANDALUCÍA would keep its majority
Casariche (Sevilla, 5,332 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- over 99%CON ANDALUCÍA majority
- 3,499valid votes in 2023 (82% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Casariche
Casariche is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 5,332 inhabitants, the 60th largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 CON ANDALUCÍA came first with 72.6% of the vote and 10 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 82.1% of the 4,264 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps CON ANDALUCÍA on 10 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 72.6% → 73.4% 10 → 10 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 24.2% → 24.2% 3 → 3 councillors
- PPPP 2.4% → 1.5% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,499 valid votes including 30 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.