Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Camas: no list would have a majority, PSOE-A largest

Camas (Sevilla, 27,443 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE-A−1
10 councillors (2023: 11) · 42.0% of the vote (2023: 45.4%) Majority 26%
PP−1
6 councillors (2023: 7) · 29.1% of the vote (2023: 29.5%) Majority 0%
VOX+2
3 councillors (2023: 1) · 14.0% of the vote (2023: 7.9%) Majority 0%
CON ANDALUCÍA−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 6.8% of the vote (2023: 9.4%) Majority 0%
AHORA INDEPENDIENTES+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 5.0% of the vote (2023: 4.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 74% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOE-APSOE 45.4% → 42.0% 11 → 10 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.5% → 29.1% 7 → 6 councillors
  3. VOXVox 7.9% → 14.0% 1 → 3 councillors
  4. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 9.4% → 6.8% 2 → 1 councillors
  5. AHORA INDEPENDIENTESLocal lists 4.8% → 5.0% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. CSCiudadanos 1.4% → 1.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,587 valid votes including 190 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Camas in size, in Sevilla

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