Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Badolatosa: PSOE would keep its majority

Badolatosa (Sevilla, 3,112 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 51.1% of the vote (2023: 49.2%) Majority 65%
CON ANDALUCÍA±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 47.2% of the vote (2023: 48.2%) Majority 35%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Badolatosa

Badolatosa is a municipality in the province of Sevilla with 3,112 inhabitants, the 82nd largest of its 106 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 49.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; CON ANDALUCÍA was second with 5. 85.7% of the 2,494 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 65% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 49.2% → 51.1% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. CON ANDALUCÍASumar, Podemos and allies 48.2% → 47.2% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PPPP 2.2% → 1.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,137 valid votes including 7 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Badolatosa in size, in Sevilla

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