Trescasas: PSOE would keep its majority
Trescasas (Segovia, 1,090 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 96%PSOE majority
- 611valid votes in 2023 (73% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 4% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Trescasas
Trescasas is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 1,090 inhabitants, the 21st largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 59.9% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 73% of the 837 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 59.9% → 56.1% 6 → 6 councillors
- PPPP 20.8% → 20.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 10.1% → 17.0% 1 → 1 councillors
- I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 7.9% → 5.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 611 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.