Samboal: AIS would keep its majority
Samboal (Segovia, 464 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 78%AIS majority
- 293valid votes in 2023 (80% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 22% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Samboal
Samboal is a municipality in the province of Segovia with 464 inhabitants, the 48th largest of its 208 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 AIS came first with 46.8% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 80.5% of the 364 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps AIS on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 78% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- AISLocal lists 46.8% → 49.9% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 29.0% → 26.2% 2 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 21.5% → 21.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 293 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.