Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research
PollingForecast.com Spain
EN ES
Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Vallehermoso: ASG would keep its majority

Vallehermoso (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 2,873 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ASG±0
7 councillors (2023: 7) · 55.5% of the vote (2023: 54.6%) Majority 96%
IXLG±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 37.3% of the vote (2023: 36.7%) Majority 2%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.

Try it

What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vallehermoso

Vallehermoso is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 2,873 inhabitants, the 41st largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 ASG came first with 54.6% of the vote and 7 seats, an absolute majority; IXLG was second with 4. 69.3% of the 2,392 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps ASG on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 96% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ASGLocal lists 54.6% → 55.5% 7 → 7 councillors
  2. IXLGLocal lists 36.7% → 37.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 7.3% → 5.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,658 valid votes including 24 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vallehermoso in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →