España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Valle Gran Rey: ASG would keep its majority

Valle Gran Rey (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 4,674 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ASG±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 52.9% of the vote (2023: 48.8%) Majority 94%
IXLG+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 22.9% of the vote (2023: 21.2%) Majority 0%
CCA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.9% of the vote (2023: 22.2%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 6% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ASGLocal lists 48.8% → 52.9% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. IXLGLocal lists 21.2% → 22.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 22.2% → 18.9% 3 → 2 councillors
  4. PSOEPSOE 6.9% → 4.4% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,025 valid votes including 19 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Valle Gran Rey in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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