España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Los Silos: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Los Silos (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 4,644 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 33.7% of the vote (2023: 34.2%) Majority 4%
CCA±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 24.4% of the vote (2023: 27.1%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 19.4% of the vote (2023: 18.6%) Majority 0%
USP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 15.0% of the vote (2023: 17.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 96% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 34.2% → 33.7% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 27.1% → 24.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PPPP 18.6% → 19.4% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. USPSumar, Podemos and allies 17.1% → 15.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 1.5% → 5.9% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,640 valid votes including 40 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Los Silos in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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