El Pinar de El Hierro: PSOE would keep its majority
El Pinar de El Hierro (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 1,971 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 80%PSOE majority
- 1,069valid votes in 2023 (68% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 20% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About El Pinar de El Hierro
El Pinar de El Hierro is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 1,971 inhabitants, the 48th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSOE came first with 52.2% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 67.9% of the 1,574 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 80% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSOEPSOE 52.2% → 50.0% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 19.4% → 19.3% 2 → 2 councillors
- ASAMBLEA HERREÑALocal lists 16.0% → 17.3% 1 → 1 councillors
- A.H.I.Local lists 11.2% → 12.2% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,069 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.
Near El Pinar de El Hierro in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife
- Alajeró2,029 inhabitants · 11 councillors
- Barlovento1,897 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Garafía1,830 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Fuencaliente de la Palma1,800 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Hermigua1,795 inhabitants · 9 councillors
- Vilaflor de Chasna1,767 inhabitants · 9 councillors
Every municipality in Santa Cruz de Tenerife → · All of Spain →