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Spain · Municipal elections 2027 · Santa Cruz de Tenerife

Barlovento: PP would keep its majority

Barlovento (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 1,897 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 54.7%) Majority 97%
PSOE±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 25.0% of the vote (2023: 26.5%) Majority 0%
CCA±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 15.9% of the vote (2023: 18.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 3% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Barlovento

Barlovento is a municipality in the province of Santa Cruz de Tenerife with 1,897 inhabitants, the 49th largest of its 54 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 54.7% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 2. 76.7% of the 1,650 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.7% → 58.4% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. PSOEPSOE 26.5% → 25.0% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. CCACoalición Canaria 18.0% → 15.9% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,266 valid votes including 10 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Barlovento in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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