España Próximas elecciones29 nov 2026en 27 días PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendario Historial Investigación

Arico: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Arico (Santa Cruz de Tenerife, 8,754 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
6 councillors (2023: 6) · 40.8% of the vote (2023: 43.3%) Majority 35%
CCA−1
2 councillors (2023: 3) · 18.0% of the vote (2023: 21.3%) Majority 0%
ARICO ST±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 14.2% of the vote (2023: 13.2%) Majority 0%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 12.1% of the vote (2023: 12.6%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
1 councillors (2023: 0) · 8.7% of the vote (2023: 3.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 65% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 43.3% → 40.8% 6 → 6 councillors
  2. CCACoalición Canaria 21.3% → 18.0% 3 → 2 councillors
  3. ARICO STLocal lists 13.2% → 14.2% 2 → 2 councillors
  4. PPPP 12.6% → 12.1% 2 → 2 councillors
  5. VOXVox 3.8% → 8.7% 0 → 1 councillors
  6. NC-FACLocal lists 4.4% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 4,044 valid votes including 54 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Arico in size, in Santa Cruz de Tenerife

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