Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Parada de Rubiales: PP would keep its majority

Parada de Rubiales (Salamanca, 258 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 51.3% of the vote (2023: 54.5%) Majority 77%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 25.1% of the vote (2023: 17.4%) Majority 0%
PSOE−1
1 councillors (2023: 2) · 23.0% of the vote (2023: 27.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 23% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 54.5% → 51.3% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. VOXVox 17.4% → 25.1% 1 → 2 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 27.5% → 23.0% 2 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 178 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Parada de Rubiales in size, in Salamanca

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