Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Villaflores: ESPAÑA VACIADA would win a majority

Villaflores (Salamanca, 258 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

ESPAÑA VACIADA+1
4 councillors (2023: 3) · 47.2% of the vote (2023: 44.5%) Majority 53%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 40.6% of the vote (2023: 40.6%) Majority 24%
PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 10.9% of the vote (2023: 13.5%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 24% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. ESPAÑA VACIADALocal lists 44.5% → 47.2% 3 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 40.6% → 40.6% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. PSOEPSOE 13.5% → 10.9% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 229 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Villaflores in size, in Salamanca

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