Carbajosa de la Sagrada: PP would keep its majority
Carbajosa de la Sagrada (Salamanca, 7,424 inhabitants) elects 13 councillors on 23 May 2027; 7 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 13councillors, 7 for a majority
- 99%PP majority
- 3,470valid votes in 2023 (62% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (7 of 13). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Carbajosa de la Sagrada
Carbajosa de la Sagrada is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 7,424 inhabitants, the 5th largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 13 seats, and 7 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 61.2% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 62.3% of the 5,573 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.2% → 59.1% 8 → 8 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 21.4% → 17.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- VOXVox 7.8% → 13.4% 1 → 2 councillors
- CSCiudadanos 8.5% → 8.6% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,470 valid votes including 39 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.