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Cantalapiedra: PSOE would keep its majority

Cantalapiedra (Salamanca, 904 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
4 councillors (2023: 4) · 57.1% of the vote (2023: 58.6%) Majority 97%
PP±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 37.4% of the vote (2023: 36.2%) Majority 3%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cantalapiedra

Cantalapiedra is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 904 inhabitants, the 32nd largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PSOE came first with 58.6% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 80% of the 804 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PSOE on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 58.6% → 57.1% 4 → 4 councillors
  2. PPPP 36.2% → 37.4% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. ESPAÑA VACIADALocal lists 4.4% → 4.8% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 643 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cantalapiedra in size, in Salamanca

Every municipality in Salamanca → · All of Spain →