Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Candelario: no list would have a majority, PSOE largest

Candelario (Salamanca, 871 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSOE±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 36.2% of the vote (2023: 36.6%) Majority 4%
PP±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 35.8% of the vote (2023: 33.3%) Majority 3%
I.U.±0
2 councillors (2023: 2) · 26.5% of the vote (2023: 28.7%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 93% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSOEPSOE 36.6% → 36.2% 3 → 3 councillors
  2. PPPP 33.3% → 35.8% 2 → 2 councillors
  3. I.U.Sumar, Podemos and allies 28.7% → 26.5% 2 → 2 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 607 valid votes including 9 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Candelario in size, in Salamanca

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