Aldearrubia: PP would keep its majority
Aldearrubia (Salamanca, 524 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 95%PP majority
- 344valid votes in 2023 (79% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Aldearrubia
Aldearrubia is a municipality in the province of Salamanca with 524 inhabitants, the 52nd largest of its 362 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 58.4% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PSOE was second with 3. 78.9% of the 436 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 95% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 58.4% → 60.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 41.0% → 38.9% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 344 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.