Oia: PP would keep its majority
Oia (Pontevedra, 3,080 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 53%no list with a majority
- 1,968valid votes in 2023 (75% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 53% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Oia
Oia is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 3,080 inhabitants, the 48th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 49.5% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 4. 75.5% of the 2,608 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 6 seats, a majority, which it holds in 47% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 49.5% → 46.9% 6 → 6 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 34.5% → 29.6% 4 → 3 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 15.1% → 22.6% 1 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,968 valid votes including 17 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.