Arbo: PP would keep its majority
Arbo (Pontevedra, 2,622 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 99%PP majority
- 2,080valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
PP−1
7
councillors (2023: 8) · 58.4% of the vote (2023: 61.6%)
Majority 99%
AGRELAR±0
2
councillors (2023: 2) · 20.4% of the vote (2023: 20.5%)
Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
1
councillors (2023: 0) · 10.4% of the vote (2023: 7.0%)
Majority 0%
IPPA±0
1
councillors (2023: 1) · 10.1% of the vote (2023: 10.2%)
Majority 0%
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.6% → 58.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- AGRELARLocal lists 20.5% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 7.0% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- IPPALocal lists 10.2% → 10.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,080 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.