Arbo: PP would keep its majority
Arbo (Pontevedra, 2,622 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 99%PP majority
- 2,080valid votes in 2023 (84% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Arbo
Arbo is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 2,622 inhabitants, the 52nd largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 61.6% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; AGRELAR was second with 2. 84.1% of the 2,473 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PPPP 61.6% → 58.4% 8 → 7 councillors
- AGRELARLocal lists 20.5% → 20.4% 2 → 2 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 7.0% → 10.4% 0 → 1 councillors
- IPPALocal lists 10.2% → 10.1% 1 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,080 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.