A Illa de Arousa: no list would have a majority, B.N.G. largest
A Illa de Arousa (Pontevedra, 4,878 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 11councillors, 6 for a majority
- 87%no list with a majority
- 3,350valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 87% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About A Illa de Arousa
A Illa de Arousa is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 4,878 inhabitants, the 39th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 11 seats, and 6 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PP came first with 43.3% of the vote and 5 seats; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 3. 80.8% of the 4,145 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: B.N.G. would be largest on 5 of 11.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 27.6% → 38.6% 3 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 43.3% → 38.2% 5 → 4 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 28.8% → 22.8% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 3,350 valid votes including 12 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.