Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

A Estrada: PP would keep its majority

A Estrada (Pontevedra, 20,106 inhabitants) elects 21 councillors on 23 May 2027; 11 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
13 councillors (2023: 13) · 55.6% of the vote (2023: 57.7%) Majority 91%
PSDEG-PSOE−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 20.9% of the vote (2023: 24.7%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 16.9% of the vote (2023: 11.1%) Majority 0%
MOVETE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 5.5% of the vote (2023: 5.4%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (11 of 21). No list with a majority in 9% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About A Estrada

A Estrada is a municipality in the province of Pontevedra with 20,106 inhabitants, the 10th largest of its 61 municipalities. Its council has 21 seats, and 11 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 57.7% of the vote and 13 seats, an absolute majority; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 5. 69.9% of the 17,072 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 13 seats, a majority, which it holds in 91% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 57.7% → 55.6% 13 → 13 councillors
  2. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 24.7% → 20.9% 5 → 4 councillors
  3. B.N.G.BNG 11.1% → 16.9% 2 → 3 councillors
  4. MOVETELocal lists 5.4% → 5.5% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 11,926 valid votes including 129 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near A Estrada in size, in Pontevedra

Every municipality in Pontevedra → · All of Spain →