Buenavista de Valdavia: SOMOS VALDAVIA would keep its majority
Buenavista de Valdavia (Palencia, 311 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 97%SOMOS VALDAVIA majority
- 243valid votes in 2023 (87% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Buenavista de Valdavia
Buenavista de Valdavia is a municipality in the province of Palencia with 311 inhabitants, the 48th largest of its 191 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 SOMOS VALDAVIA came first with 57.2% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 3. 86.8% of the 280 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps SOMOS VALDAVIA on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 97% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- SOMOS VALDAVIALocal lists 57.2% → 60.1% 4 → 4 councillors
- PPPP 37.0% → 36.7% 3 → 3 councillors
- PSOEPSOE 4.9% → 2.4% 0 → 0 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 243 valid votes including 2 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.