Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Vilar de Santos: B.N.G. would keep its majority

Vilar de Santos (Ourense, 792 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

B.N.G.+1
7 councillors (2023: 6) · 86.7% of the vote (2023: 78.2%) Majority over 99%
PP−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.3% of the vote (2023: 18.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Vilar de Santos

Vilar de Santos is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 792 inhabitants, the 76th largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 B.N.G. came first with 78.2% of the vote and 6 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 1. 82% of the 706 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps B.N.G. on 7 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. B.N.G.BNG 78.2% → 86.7% 6 → 7 councillors
  2. PPPP 18.1% → 12.3% 1 → 0 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 2.9% → 0.3% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 579 valid votes including 4 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Vilar de Santos in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →