Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

O Carballiño: no list would have a majority, PSDEG-PSOE largest

O Carballiño (Ourense, 13,932 inhabitants) elects 17 councillors on 23 May 2027; 9 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PSDEG-PSOE−1
5 councillors (2023: 6) · 30.8% of the vote (2023: 34.5%) Majority 0%
PP±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 28.6% of the vote (2023: 29.5%) Majority 0%
ESCO±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 26.9% of the vote (2023: 26.0%) Majority 0%
B.N.G.+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 12.5% of the vote (2023: 8.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (9 of 17). No list with a majority in over 99% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 34.5% → 30.8% 6 → 5 councillors
  2. PPPP 29.5% → 28.6% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. ESCOLocal lists 26.0% → 26.9% 5 → 5 councillors
  4. B.N.G.BNG 8.1% → 12.5% 1 → 2 councillors
  5. PODEMOSSumar, Podemos and allies 0.7% → 0.0% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 7,601 valid votes including 88 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near O Carballiño in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →