Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cualedro: PP would keep its majority

Cualedro (Ourense, 1,627 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP±0
8 councillors (2023: 8) · 79.5% of the vote (2023: 82.8%) Majority over 99%
B.N.G.±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 17.7% of the vote (2023: 11.8%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cualedro

Cualedro is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,627 inhabitants, the 34th largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 82.8% of the vote and 8 seats, an absolute majority; B.N.G. was second with 1. 73.6% of the 1,473 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection keeps PP on 8 seats, a majority, which it holds in 100% of our simulations.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 82.8% → 79.5% 8 → 8 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 11.8% → 17.7% 1 → 1 councillors
  3. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 4.2% → 1.6% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,084 valid votes including 13 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cualedro in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →