Ramirás: B.N.G. would win a majority
Ramirás (Ourense, 1,500 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 9councillors, 5 for a majority
- 53%B.N.G. majority
- 1,026valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 47% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Ramirás
Ramirás is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,500 inhabitants, the 36th largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 B.N.G. came first with 35.8% of the vote and 3 seats; PSDEG-PSOE was second with 3. 76.7% of the 1,338 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps B.N.G. on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 53% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- B.N.G.BNG 35.8% → 48.1% 3 → 5 councillors
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 33.4% → 25.8% 3 → 2 councillors
- PPPP 30.0% → 25.3% 3 → 2 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 1,026 valid votes including 8 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.