Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Cenlle: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Cenlle (Ourense, 1,119 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 46.2% of the vote (2023: 49.4%) Majority 44%
B.N.G.+1
3 councillors (2023: 2) · 32.2% of the vote (2023: 21.9%) Majority 1%
CXG±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 11.1% of the vote (2023: 15.0%) Majority 0%
PSDEG-PSOE±0
1 councillors (2023: 1) · 9.7% of the vote (2023: 13.1%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 56% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Cenlle

Cenlle is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,119 inhabitants, the 58th largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 49.4% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; B.N.G. was second with 2. 78.6% of the 961 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.4% → 46.2% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. B.N.G.BNG 21.9% → 32.2% 2 → 3 councillors
  3. CXGSumar, Podemos and allies 15.0% → 11.1% 1 → 1 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 13.1% → 9.7% 1 → 1 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 755 valid votes including 5 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Cenlle in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →