Castrelo do Val: PSDEG-PSOE would keep its majority
Castrelo do Val (Ourense, 969 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 99%PSDEG-PSOE majority
- 663valid votes in 2023 (77% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 1% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Castrelo do Val
Castrelo do Val is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 969 inhabitants, the 68th largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 PSDEG-PSOE came first with 64% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; PP was second with 2. 76.8% of the 863 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps PSDEG-PSOE on 5 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 64.0% → 58.9% 5 → 5 councillors
- PPPP 24.4% → 23.4% 2 → 1 councillors
- B.N.G.BNG 11.2% → 17.2% 0 → 1 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 663 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.