Spain General election29 Nov 2026in 27 days PP + Vox majority 99% 2023 investiture bloc 1% Calendar Track record Research

Avión: no list would have a majority, PP largest

Avión (Ourense, 1,770 inhabitants) elects 9 councillors on 23 May 2027; 5 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

PP−1
4 councillors (2023: 5) · 45.0% of the vote (2023: 49.0%) Majority 33%
NOVOS AIRES POR AVION±0
3 councillors (2023: 3) · 27.9% of the vote (2023: 28.8%) Majority 0%
VOX+1
2 councillors (2023: 1) · 26.3% of the vote (2023: 18.9%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (5 of 9). No list with a majority in 67% of 300 simulated elections.

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What if the national vote changes? Every municipality

Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.

3 more parties

The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.

What changes hands

  1. Nothing yet: move a slider.

About Avión

Avión is a municipality in the province of Ourense with 1,770 inhabitants, the 29th largest of its 92 municipalities. Its council has 9 seats, and 5 make a majority to choose the mayor.

In May 2023 PP came first with 49% of the vote and 5 seats, an absolute majority; NOVOS AIRES POR AVION was second with 3. 60.3% of the 1,546 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.

On today's national polls our projection gives no list a majority: PP would be largest on 4 of 9.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. PPPP 49.0% → 45.0% 5 → 4 councillors
  2. NOVOS AIRES POR AVIONLocal lists 28.8% → 27.9% 3 → 3 councillors
  3. VOXVox 18.9% → 26.3% 1 → 2 councillors
  4. PSDEG-PSOEPSOE 3.0% → 0.5% 0 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 933 valid votes including 3 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Avión in size, in Ourense

Every municipality in Ourense → · All of Spain →