Yesa: I.X.Y. would keep its majority
Yesa (Navarra, 304 inhabitants) elects 7 councillors on 23 May 2027; 4 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.
- 7councillors, 4 for a majority
- 99%I.X.Y. majority
- 205valid votes in 2023 (81% of the electorate)
The council after 23 May, our projection
The line marks a majority (4 of 7). No list with a majority in 0% of 300 simulated elections.
What if the national vote changes? Every municipality
Move a party's national vote share and our model reruns all 8,087 municipalities with your figures: the same arithmetic as our projection, so you see what changes hands and why.
3 more parties
The sliders set each party's national figure; the parties left out keep theirs. The local picture moves with the national change since the last election, as in our projection.
What changes hands
- Nothing yet: move a slider.
About Yesa
Yesa is a municipality in the province of Navarra with 304 inhabitants, the 145th largest of its 234 municipalities. Its council has 7 seats, and 4 make a majority to choose the mayor.
In May 2023 I.X.Y. came first with 60.5% of the vote and 4 seats, an absolute majority; YA was second with 3. 81.3% of the 252 voters on the roll cast a valid vote.
On today's national polls our projection keeps I.X.Y. on 4 seats, a majority, which it holds in 99% of our simulations.
Every list, 2023 and projected
- I.X.Y.Local lists 60.5% → 60.5% 4 → 4 councillors
- YALocal lists 39.0% → 39.0% 3 → 3 councillors
2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 205 valid votes including 1 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.