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Sangüesa/Zangoza: AISS would win a majority

Sangüesa/Zangoza (Navarra, 4,882 inhabitants) elects 11 councillors on 23 May 2027; 6 make a majority and choose the mayor. Our projection moves each list's 2023 result by its party's change in the national polls since July 2023; local lists keep their vote.

The council after 23 May, our projection

AISS+1
6 councillors (2023: 5) · 48.1% of the vote (2023: 47.1%) Majority 74%
EH BILDU±0
5 councillors (2023: 5) · 41.5% of the vote (2023: 39.6%) Majority 21%
PSN-PSOE−1
0 councillors (2023: 1) · 6.1% of the vote (2023: 9.0%) Majority 0%

The line marks a majority (6 of 11). No list with a majority in 5% of 300 simulated elections.

Every list, 2023 and projected

  1. AISSLocal lists 47.1% → 48.1% 5 → 6 councillors
  2. EH BILDUEH Bildu 39.6% → 41.5% 5 → 5 councillors
  3. PSN-PSOEPSOE 9.0% → 6.1% 1 → 0 councillors

2023: the official result (Ministerio del Interior), 2,466 valid votes including 106 blank. Pale bar: 2023; solid: our projection. A list needs 5% of the valid vote for a seat.

Near Sangüesa/Zangoza in size, in Navarra

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